Foreign trade of Ukraine in the conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31617/zt.knute.2020(113)07Keywords:
foreign trade, export, import, pandemic.Abstract
Background. The COVID-19 pandemic led to problems in all sectors of the global economy. The world's leading companies are focused on how to adapt their activities to quarantine measures, save jobs and minimize losses due to the recession. There is no doubt that the pandemic will have far-reaching negative consequences for the world economy, including Ukraine. The economic consequences predicting of an outbreak of the COVID-19 virus is a difficult task due to uncertainty and lack of reliable information.
The aim of the article is to study the development trends of Ukraine's foreign trade in goods in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic and to analyze the measures taken by countries around the world to stimulate it under these conditions.
Materials and methods. The information base of the article is presented by analytical reports of international and national organizations, statistical data, forecasts of experts. The research was conducted using general scientific methods: system analysis, synthesis, theoretical generalization and comparison.
Results. Trends in the development of Ukraine's foreign trade in goods in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic were studied. Groups of countries that have introduced restrictive measures in trade policy were identified. The complex of measures taken by the countries of the world to stimulate the economy in the conditions of a coronavirus pandemic was analyzed. Systemic and crisis obstacles in the development of Ukraine's foreign trade were highlighted. Measures to mitigate the effects of the pandemic were identified in trade and economic cooperation of Ukraine in the international arena.
Conclusion. The economic damage from the pandemic has not yet been estimated due to the further spread of the virus. Research of measures taken by countries around the world to stimulate the economy in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic have shown that developed countries are trying to restore its economies, primarily through the mobilization of financial resources, the introduction of large-scale programs to support producers and tax breaks. It was found that only some developing countries introduce temporary foreign trade restrictions to avoid shortages in the domestic market. Most other countries use economic incentives to the leveling effects of the pandemic. Ukraine has implemented economic measures against the pandemic and temporary trade restrictions. COVID-19 has a neutral effect on exports of goods, but together with other global trends has led to a reduction of critical imports.The existence of systemic and crisis gaps in Ukraine's trade policy requires immediate action in the field of trade and economic cooperation with the countries of the world.
References
Obuh, V. Ne pomremo, tak zbankrutujemo?.. Ekonomichni zbytky cherez COVID-19 u kil'ka raziv perevyshhat' obsjagy ukrai'ns'kogo VVP. Ukrinform [We will not die, so we will go bankrupt? Economic losses through COVID-19 will be several times higher than Ukraine's GDP. Ukrinform]. Retrieved from https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/2881684-uroki-kitajskogo-koronavirusu-castina-1.html (date of request 07.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Orlik, T., Rush, J., Cousin, M., & Hong, J. Coronavirus Could Cost the Global Economy $2.7 Trillion. Here’s How / (update date 06.03.2020). Retrieved from https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-coronavirus-pandemic-global-economic-risk/?srnd=premium-europe&sref=6G2RWwOr (date of request 08.06.2020) [in English].
Aziats'kyj bank rozvytku pidrahuvav zbytky svitovoi' ekonomiky vid koronavirusa [The Asian Development Bank has calculated the losses of the world economy from the coronavirus]. Retrieved from https://vezha.net.ua/economy/aziatskij-bank-rozvitku-pidraxuvav-zbitki-svitovoyi-ekonomiki-vid-koronavirusa/ (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Hara, O. Jak global'na kryza, COVID-19, Kytaj ta Rosija vplynut' na amerykans'ku polityku ta ekonomiku [How the global crisis, COVID-19, China and Russia will affect American politics and economics]. Retrieved from https://dt.ua/international/viyna-trampa-z-virusom-i-za-biliy-dim-342186_.html (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Stadnyk, M. (2020). Vplyv COVID-19 na svitovu ekonomiku. [The impact of COVID-19 on the world economy]. Visnyk MSFZ – Bulletin of IFRS, 3. Retrieved from https://msfz.ligazakon.ua/ua/magazine_article/FZ002118 (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Shepotylo, O. Vplyv COVID-19 na svitovu ekonomiku ta zovnishnju torgivlju Ukrai'ny. VoxUkraine [The impact of COVID-19 on the world economy and foreign trade of Ukraine. VoxUkraine]. Retrieved from https://voxukraine.org/uk/vpliv-covid-19-na-svitovu-ekonomiku-ta-zovnishnyu-torgivlyu-ukrayini/ (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Paljanychko, V. Finansovi instrumenty dlja pidtrymky biznesu pid chas karantynu: shho treba znaty? (data onovlennja: 6.05.2020) [Financial instruments to support business during quarantine: what you need to know? (update date: 6.05.2020)] Retrieved from https://blog.liga.net/user/vpalianychko/article/36799 (date of request 07.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Oblikova stavka Nacional'nogo banku. Nacional'nyj bank Ukrai'ny [The discount rate of the National Bank. National Bank of Ukraine]. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/ua/monetary/stages/archive-rish (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Ogljad zahodiv, shho vzhyvajut'sja krai'namy svitu dlja borot'by z pandemijeju ta podolannjam i'i' naslidkiv. Centr zovnishn'opolitychnyh doslidzhen' Nacional'nogo instytutu strategichnyh doslidzhen' [Overview of measures taken by countries around the world to combat the pandemic and overcome its consequences. Center for Foreign Policy Studies of the National Institute for Strategic Studies]. Retrieved from https://niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2020-04/svitova-ekonomika-ta-pandemiya.pdf (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
COVID-19ta svitova ekonomika: vrjatuvaty nemozhlyvo likviduvaty? [COVID-19 and the world economy: can't it be saved?]. Retrieved from https://kreston-gcg.com/ua/covid-19-ta-svitova-ekonomika-vryatuvati-nemozhlivo-likviduvati/ (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Dodatok do Derzhavnoi' programy stymuljuvannja ekonomiky dlja podolannja negatyvnyh naslidkiv, sprychynenyh obmezhuval'nymy zahodamy shhodo zapobigannja vynyknennju i poshyrennju koronavirusnoi' hvoroby (COVID-19) na 2020-2022 roky. Informacijno-analitychni materialy / Kabinet ministriv Ukrai'ny [Annex to the State Program of Economic Stimulation to Overcome the Negative Consequences of Restrictive Measures to Prevent the Occurrence and Spread of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) for 2020-2022. Information and analytical materials. Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine]. Retrieved from https://www.kmu.gov.ua/storage/app/sites/1/18%20-%20Department/Prezentacii/Programa%20Ekonomichne%20stymyluvannia/progr-covid19-analytics.pdf (date of request 07.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Pesymistychnyj prognoz: zbytky svitovoi' ekonomiky vid koronavirusu ocinyly v $6-9 tryl'joniv. Informacijne agentstvo «Unian» [Pessimistic forecast: the losses of the world economy from the coronavirus were estimated at $ 6-9 trillion]. UNIAN News Agency. Retrieved from https://www.unian.ua/economics/finance/pandemiya-koronavirusu-zbitki-svitovoji-ekonomiki-ocinili-v-6-9-trilyoniv-novini-ukrajina-10997906.html (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Oficijnyj veb-sajt UNCTADstat [Official website UNCTADstat]. Retrieved from https://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/TableViewer/tableView.aspx (date of request 12.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Infljacijnyj zvit. Kviten' 2020. Nacional'nyj bank Ukrai'ny [Inflation report. April 2020. National Bank of Ukraine]. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/IR_2020-Q2.pdf?v=4 (date of request 20.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Zovnishn'oekonomichna dijal'nist'. Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrai'ny [Foreign economic activity. State Statistics Service of Ukraine]. Retrieved from http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/operativ/menu/menu_u/zed.htm (date of request 05.06.2020)
Statystychnyj eksport ta import tovariv. Derzhavna mytna sluzhba Ukrai'ny. [Statistical exports and imports of goods. State Customs Service of Ukraine]. Retrieved from http://www.customs.gov.ua/?p=343 (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
COVID-19: tymchasovo – do 01.06.2020 r. – obmezheno eksport spyrtu // Visnyk. Oficijno pro podatky. (data onovlennja: 25.03.2020) [COVID-19: temporarily – until 01.06.2020 – export of alcohol is limited. Visnyk. Officially about taxes. (update date: 25.03.2020)]. Retrieved from http://www.visnuk.com.ua/uk/news/100017020-covid-19-timchasovo-do-01-06-2020-r-obmezheno-eksport-spirtu (date of request 12.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Urjad vviv kvotuvannja na eksport grechky do 1 lypnja 2020 roku. Urjadovyj portal [The government introduced quotas on buckwheat exports until July 1, 2020]. Government portal. Retrieved from https://www.kmu.gov.ua/news/uryad-vviv-kvotuvannya-na-eksport-grechki-do-1-lipnya-2020-roku (date of request 05.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Rishennja Urjadu shhodo tymchasovogo obmezhennja eksportu tovariv protyepidemichnogo pryznachennja. Ministerstvo rozvytku ekonomiky, torgivli ta sil's'kogo gospodarstva Ukrai'ny (data onovlennja: 11.03.2020) [Decision of the Government on temporary restriction of exports of anti-epidemic goods. Ministry of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture of Ukraine (update date: 11.03.2020)] Retrieved from https://www.me.gov.ua/News/Detail?lang=uk-UA&id=ef2fe920-a5fa-41b4-9981-bc136ed436be&title=RishenniaUriaduSchodoTimchasovogoObmezhenniaEksportuTovarivProtiepidemiologichnogoPriznachennia- [in Ukrainian].
Eksport zasobiv zahystu vid koronavirusu zaboronyly abo obmezhyly 80 krai'n svitu, shho pereshkodzhaje borot'bi z infekcijeju. Informacijne agentstvo «Interfaks-Ukrai'na» [The export of coronavirus protection products has been banned or restricted in 80 countries, which hinders the fight against infection. Interfax-Ukraine News Agency]. Retrieved from https://ua.interfax.com.ua/news/economic/657397.html (date of request 08.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Ukrai'na posila 1 misce v Jevropi za obsjagamy eksportovanoi' organichnoi' produkcii' ta 2-ge misce u sviti. Ministerstvo rozvytku ekonomiky, torgivli ta sil's'kogo gospodarstva Ukrai'ny [Ukraine ranked 1st in Europe in terms of exported organic products and 2nd in the world. Ministry of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture of Ukraine]. Retrieved from https://www.me.gov.ua/News/Detail?lang=uk-UA&id=28478e1e-eaa9-4143-808a-f258bd33dab9&title=UkrainaPosila1-MistseVvropiZaObsiagamiImportovanoiOrganichnoiProduktsiiTa2-geMistseUSviti (date of request 08.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
The #COVID-19 Government Measures Dataset. May 2020. Retrieved from https://www.acaps.org/sites/acaps/files/key-documents/files/acaps_-_covid-19_government_measures_dataset_readme.pdf (date of request 05.06.2020) [in English].
Diznajtesja bil'she pro zminy v torgovel'nij polityci inozemnyh krai'n u zv’jazku iz COVID-19 / Ministerstvo zakordonnyh sprav Ukrai'ny (data onovlennja [Learn more about changes in foreign trade policy in connection with COVID-19 / Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine (update date: 18.03.2020)]. Retrieved from https://mfa.gov.ua/news/diznajtesya-bilshe-pro-zmini-v-torgovelnij-politici-inozemnih-krayin-u-zvyazku-iz-covid-19 (date of request 08.06.2020) [in Ukrainian].
Informacija shhodo vplyvu zahodiv z pidtrymky nacional'nyh ekonomik v umovah pandemii' COVID-19 na umovy eksportu ukrai'ns'koi' produkcii'. L'vivs'ka Torgovo-promyslova palata [Information on the impact of measures to support national economies in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic on the conditions of export of Ukrainian products]. Lviv Chamber of Commerce and Industry. Retrieved from https://lcci.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Informatsiia-shchodo-vplyvu-zakhodiv-z-pidtrymky-natsionalnykh-ekonomik-v-umovakh-pandemii-COVID-19-na-umovy-eksportu-ukrainskoi-produktsii.pdf [in Ukrainian].
Additional Files
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2021 Foreign trade: Economics, Finance, Law
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)