Economic recovery and development of countries after armed conflicts: experience for Ukraine

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31617/3.2023(130)04

Keywords:

armed conflict, economic recovery, experience of post-war recovery, economic policy.

Abstract

In the twenty-first century, under the influence of the transformation of the world system, the concepts of "armed conflict" and "war" are increasingly understood as dynamic process and not as static balance. So, the russian-Ukrainian war is a full-scale military action on the territory of Europe, it is a struggle for the stateʼs independent existence in the conditions of the twenty-first century; it is not only the struggle for Ukrainian statehood, but also the beginning of the transformation of the world system. The purpose of the study is to identify the features that have ensured the reconstruction and development of countries after the war and/or armed conflict in the conditions of the transformation of the content of these concepts in the twenty-first century, in order to identify areas and tools that can be used in the process of restoring the Ukrainian economy. Research on the transformation of the understanding of armed conflicts in the twenty-first century has made it possible to determine that the armed conflict is changing according to the following dimensions: subject, forms, means, place, and consequences. The experience of countries (Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, South Korea) that got into a situation similar to the Russian invasion on February 24, 2022, which had annexed territories, was analysed; in particular the ways of recovery after military destruction, economic reconstruction and achieving economic independence from foreign capital infusions. In the course of the study, the main direc­tions that should be implemented in the process of further development of Ukraineʼs economy were determined: the formation of a stable political envi­ronment and strong institutions capable of ensuring the rule of law, protection of property rights, and the execution of contracts; changing the system of ensuring the national security of the state due to the development of the military-industrial complex and strengthening of national identity in society; training of an educated and qualified workforce, in particular through the development of the system of private educational institutions; attraction of investments in scientific research to stimulate innovation and the development of new technologies; formation of a favourable business environment that encourages entrepreneurship, innovation and investment; transition from the predominant export of raw materials to the export of finished products. 

Author Biographies

Ganna DUGINETS , State University of Trade and Economics

Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of Department of World Economy

Nataliia KOLODKO , State University of Trade and Economics

postgraduate student of the Department of World Economy

References

Duginets G., & Nizheiko K. (2022). International technical support in Ukraineʼs post-war recons-truction.·Scientia·Fructuosa, 143(3), 36-49. https://doi.org/10.31617/visnik.knute.2022(143)02

KMU (2023) Ministry of Economy: GDP fell by 29.2% at the end of 2022. https://www.kmu.gov.ua/news/minekonomiky-vvp-za-pidsumkom-2022-roku-vpav-na-292

Mazaraki, А., & Melnyk, Т. (2022). The world economy: the challenges of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Scientia·Fructuosa, 143(3), 4-35. https://doi.org/10.31617/visnik.knute.2022(143)01

Semeniuk, I. (2013) Features of the historical tradition of South Korean society. Humanitarian Bulletin of Zaporizhzhia State Engineering Academy (55). 45-55 http://vestnikzgia.com.ua/article/view/24236

Sidenko, S. (2022). Priorities and factors of inno-vative policy: the experience of some East Asian countries and strategic imperatives for the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine. Economy of Ukraine. (11): 47-75. https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2022.11.047

Aboushala, M., & Haj Ismail, S. (2022). Post-war rural resilience as a development strategy in theory and practice. TRC Journal of Humanitarian Action, 1(1), 19-29. https://doi.org/10.55280/trcjha.2022.1.1.0003

Al-Saadi, Nawar (2023). Russian-Ukrainian Warʼs Effects on the World Economy. Journal of Exploratory Studies in Law and Management 10.1. 8-21. https://doi.org/10.35808/ijeba/799

Barakat, S., & Kapisazovic, Z. (2003). Being Lokalci: Evaluating the impact of international aid agencies on local human resources: The case of post-war Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina. The European Journal of Development Research, (15), 55-72. https://doi.org/10.1080/09578810312331287375

Bugnion, F. (2011). Geneva conventions and their additional protocols. The Encyclopedia of War. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781444338232.wbeow229

Collier, P. (1999). On the economic consequences of civil war. Oxford economic papers, 51(1), 168-183. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/51.1.168

Eastmond, M. (2006). Transnational returns and reconstruction in post‐war Bosnia and Herzegovina. International Migration, 44(3), 141-166. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2435.2006.00375.x

Erhard, L. (2020). Wohlstand für alle. Ullstein Buchverlage. 424

Chassang, S., & Miquel, G. P. (2009). Economic shocks and civil war. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 4(3), 211-228. https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00008072

Galanakis, Charis M. (2023) The "vertigo" of the food sector within the triangle of climate change, the post-pandemic world, and the Russian-Ukrainian war. Foods 12.4: 721. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods12040721

Ganegodage, K. R., & Rambaldi, A. N. (2014). Economic consequences of war: Evidence from Sri Lanka. Journal of Asian Economics, (30), 42-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2013.12.001

Glick, R., & Taylor, A. M. (2010). Collateral damage: Trade disruption and the economic impact of war. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(1), 102-127. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.2009.12023

Gorodnichenko, Y. et all (2022) Paris Report 1: Rebuilding Ukraine: Principles and Policies Sologub, B. Weder di Mauro // CEPR Press. https://cepr.org/about/news/press-release-rebuilding-ukraine (Last accessed: 28.07.2023).

Gill-Tiney, Patrick (2022) A Liberal Peace? The growth of liberal norms and the decline of interstate violence. Journal of Conflict Resolution 66(3): 413-442. https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027211035554

Chung, Y. I. (2007). South Korea in the fast lane: Economic development and capital formation. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195325454.001.0001

Hart, B. L. (2008). Strategy: the indirect approach. In Strategic Studies (pp. 92-95). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203928462-12

Hartwell, L. (2019). Conflict resolution: Lessons from the Dayton peace process. Negotiation Journal, 35(4), 443-469. https://doi.org/10.1111/nejo.12300

Harvey, J. (2006). Return dynamics in Bosnia1 and Croatia: A comparative analysis. International Migration, 44(3), 89-144. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2435.2006.00373.x

IEF (2023). Ukraine Support Tracker. A Database of Military, Financial and Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine The Kiel Institute of world economy. https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/ukraine-support-tracker/

Kang, S., & Meernik, J. (2005). Civil war destruction and the prospects for economic growth. The Journal of Politics, 67(1), 88-109. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2508.2005.00309.x

Koubi, Vally. (2005) War and economic performance. Journal of Peace Research 42.1: 67-82. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343305049667

Nordhaus, J. (2008). The War Ends. West Branch, (62), 84-85.

Parker, Geoffrey (1988). The Military Revolution: Military Innovation and the Rise of the West, 1500-1800. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/milmed/153.2.91

Pereira, Paulo, et al. (2022). Russian-Ukrainian war impacts the total environment. Science of The Total Environment 837: 155865. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155865

Russell, Stuart (2023). AI Weapons: Russiaʼs war in Ukraine shows why the world must enact a ban. Nature 614(7949): 620-623. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-00511-5

Strachan, Hew, & Sibylle Scheipers (eds) (2011) The Changing Character of War. Oxford: Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:osobl/9780199596737.001.0001

Schönfelder, B. (2005). War, Economic Crisis and Stabilization. Croatiaʼs Performance during the Balkan War 1991-1995 (Reconsidered). Südosteuropa. Zeitschrift für Politik und Gesellschaft, (03), 430-450. https://doi.org/10.1515/soeu-2005-530305

Themnér, Lotta, & Peter Wallensteen (2014) Armed Conflicts, 1946-2013. Journal of Peace Research 51(4): 541-554. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343314542076

Tzifakis, N., & Tsardanidis, C. (2006). Economic reconstruction of Bosnia and Herzegovina: The lost decade. Ethnopolitics, 5(1), 67-84. https://doi.org/10.1080/17449050600576316

URC (2022). Ukraineʼs National Recovery Plan. https://uploads-ssl.webflow.com/621f88db25fbf24758792dd8/62c166751fcf41105380a733_NRC%20Ukraine%27s%20Recovery%20Plan%20blueprint_ENG.pdf

UCDP (2023a). Uppsala Conflict Data Program Department of Peace and Conflict Research https://ucdp.uu.se/

UCDP (2023b). Definitions https://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/definitions/#tocjump_45731119027353406_16

Von Clausewitz, C. (2005). On the nature of war. Penguin UK.

Published

2023-10-26

How to Cite

DUGINETS Г., & KOLODKO Н. (2023). Economic recovery and development of countries after armed conflicts: experience for Ukraine . oreign rade: onomics, inance, aw, 130(5), 46–65. https://doi.org/10.31617/3.2023(130)04

Issue

Section

WORLD ECONOMY